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Ann Thorac Surg 2004;78:1903-1909
© 2004 The Society of Thoracic Surgeons


Original Article: General Thoracic

Repeat FDG-PET After Neoadjuvant Therapy is a Predictor of Pathologic Response in Patients With Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

Robert J. Cerfolio, MDa,*, Ayesha S. Bryant, MSPHb, Thomas S. Winokur, MDc, Buddhiwardhan Ohja, MD, MPHd, Alfred A. Bartolucci, PhDe

a Department of Surgery, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, USA and Division of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Department of Surgery, Birmingham Veterans Administration Hospital, Birmingham, Alabama; USA
b Department of Epidemiology, UAB School of Public Health, Birmingham, Alabama, USA
c Department of Clinical Pathology, UAB School of Public Health, Birmingham, Alabama, USA
d Department of Nuclear Medicine, UAB School of Public Health, Birmingham, Alabama, USA
e Department of Biostatistics, UAB School of Public Health, Birmingham, Alabama, USA

Accepted for publication June 2, 2004.

* Address reprint requests to Dr Cerfolio, Division of Cardiothoracic Surgery, University of Alabama at Birmingham, 1900 University Blvd, THT 712, Birmingham, AL35294 (E-mail: robert.cerfolio{at}ccc.uab.edu).


    Abstract
 Top
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Material and Methods
 Results
 Comment
 References
 
BACKGROUND: Repeat positron emission tomography (PET) with 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) and chest computed tomography (CT) are used to assess the effectiveness of chemoradiotherapy in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC); however, the change in the standardized uptake values (SUV) has not been correlated with the pathologic change of the primary tumor.

METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study of a prospective database of 56 patients who had NSCLC, FDG-PET, and chest CT scans both before and after neoadjuvant therapy, followed by complete resection of their cancer. Maximum SUVs (maxSUV) and tumor size were measured, and the percentage of change was compared with the percentage of nonviable tumor cells. The primary objective was to measure the degree of correlation between these values.

RESULTS: The change in the maxSUV has a near linear relationship to the percent of nonviable tumor cells in the resected tumors. FDG-PET's maxSUV is better correlated to pathology than the change in size on CT scan (r2 = 0.75, r2 = 0.03, p < 0.001). When the maxSUV decreased by 80% or more, a complete pathologic response could be predicted with a sensitivity of 90%, specificity of 100%, and accuracy of 96%.

CONCLUSIONS: The change in maxSUV on FDG-PET scan after neoadjuvant therapy holds a near linear relationship with pathologic response. It is a more accurate predictor than the change of size on CT scan. When the maxSUV decreases by 80% or more it is likely that the patient is a complete responder irrespective of cell type, neoadjuvant treatment, or the final absolute maxSUV. These findings may help guide treatment strategies.


    Introduction
 Top
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Material and Methods
 Results
 Comment
 References
 
Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer deaths worldwide. More Americans die from lung cancer than the next three most common solid organ cancers (breast, prostate, and colon) combined [1–4]. Because of these dismal numbers, more patients are undergoing neoadjuvant therapy before resection, adjuvant therapy after resection, and continued palliative chemotherapy.

Several reports of prospective studies have shown increased survival favoring neoadjuvant therapy for patients with stage Ib, IIa, and N2 (stage IIIa) disease [5–9]. Patients with N2 disease who have had neoadjuvant therapy are usually only considered for resections if the N2 disease resolves. Similarly, further chemotherapy or changes in chemotherapy are often made for those patients with stage IV disease based on response. Improved survival has been shown in patients who have a response, even with stage IV disease [10]. Similarly, patients who are complete responders that undergo resection have a significant survival advantage [11]. Thus, being able to identify responders leads to improved patient selection for surgery and may also help guide further treatment for patients with stage IV disease.

Chest computed tomography (CT) and positron emission tomography (PET) using 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) are most often used to assess the response of NSCLC to treatment. However little data have shown that the clinical response rate detected on repeat FDG-PET scan actually correlates with the pathologic response of the primary tumor [12]. Therefore, we evaluated the effectiveness of repeat FDG-PET and repeat CT scan as predictors of this response in a group of patients who met strict entry criteria.


    Material and Methods
 Top
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Material and Methods
 Results
 Comment
 References
 
Patients
Over a 24-month period (January 2002 until December 2003), one general thoracic surgeon (RJC) performed 1,963 operations at the University of Alabama at Birmingham (UAB). Ninety-four patients had neoadjuvant therapy before resection, but only 56 met the strict entry criteria described in Table 1. The most common reason for exclusion of the other 38 patients was the lack of a dedicated FDG-PET scan or the lack of a maximum standardized uptake value (maxSUV) reported before the start of their neoadjuvant therapy. The remaining 56 patients comprised the cohort for this study. UAB's Institutional Review Board approved this review of our prospective database. Patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy under the guise of the Southern Western Oncology Group S9900 trial received an additional separate consent. Patients were excluded if they had a history of type I diabetes mellitus, had a FDG-PET preformed on a nondedicated camera, did not have the maxSUV reported, had a delay greater than 6 weeks from the completion of their neoadjuvant treatment to resection, had an incomplete resection, were medically unfit, or refused surgery.


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Table 1. Entry Criteria
 
Imaging
The PET scans performed at UAB were conducted on an integrated PET-CT scanner (GE Discovery LS PET-CT Scanner, Milwaukee, WI). Patients were asked to fast for 4 hours and then subsequently received 555 MBq (15 mCi) of FDG intravenously followed by PET after 1 hour.

The maxSUV was determined by drawing regions of interest (ROI) on the attenuation-corrected FDG-PET images around the primary tumor. It was then calculated by the software contained within the PET-CT scanner by the formula: [13]


{4014420.1903.si1}

(1)

where C = activity at a pixel within the tissue defined by an ROI and ID = injected dose per kg of the patient's body weight (w). The maxSUV within the selected ROI's was used. The percentage of change of the maxSUV was calculated by the formula:


{4014420.1903.si2}

(2)

Patients that had FDG-PET scans performed at outside hospitals were included in this trial if the FDG-PET was performed on a dedicated PET camera with bismuth germanate crystals. All patients were carefully staged and biopsy specimens were taken from all suspicious N2, N3, or M1 areas (maxSUV > 2.5).

Patients with N2 disease had chemoradiotherapy, and those that were N2 negative had chemotherapy alone. Biopsies were performed on all suspicious M1 metastatic lesions unless cancer was suspected in the bone or brain where magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) was considered to be the gold standard. Patients with suspected M1 disease in the liver, adrenal, or contralateral lung underwent definitive biopsy to prove or disprove M1 cancer.

The volume of the tumor on chest CT was calculated using the equation:


{4014420.1903.si3}

(3)

with a, b, and c representing the height, diameter, and width of the mass (cm), respectively. This volume was calculated on the initial chest CT and then on the repeat chest CT after the neoadjuvant therapy was completed. The percentage of change in size was calculated by the formula:


{4014420.1903.si4}

(4)

Surgery
Thoracotomy with complete thoracic lymphadenectomy was performed in all patients in this study. Patients who initially had stage IIIa disease, secondary to N2 disease, in general were offered pulmonary resection only if the initial nodal station involved with cancer was negative for cancer on repeat biopsy after the neoadjuvant therapy was completed. Repeat transesophageal ultrasound with fine needle aspirate was used to reassess lymph node stations 7, 8, and 9, and sometimes 5. Repeat video-assisted thorascopy was used to perform a repeat biopsy of stations 5 and 6. Repeat biopsies were performed on right-sided stations 2 and 4 and left-sided 4 by using open thoracotomy and frozen section analysis. Repeat mediastinoscopy was not performed. Segmentectomy, lobectomy, or pneumonectomy was performed; and wedge resection was not. The bronchial stump was buttressed with an intercostal muscle flap in all patients. As part of the entry criteria for this study, all patients had complete resection with negative margins and complete thoracic lymphadenectomy.

Pathologic Analysis
Multiple hematoxylin and eosin stained sections of each tumor were reviewed by a pathologist and then re-reviewed by another pathologist (TSW) who carefully calculated the percentage of nonviable tumor after recutting the entire tumor and scrutinizing multiple cross-sections. The percent of nonviable tumor was defined as the combined percentage of scar and necrosis. Scar was defined as fibrous tissue intimately admixed with residual tumor. Patients with mixed tumors were labeled as squamous cell or adenocarcinoma based on the predominant cellular type seen. Complete pathologic response was defined as 1% or less of viable tumor cells detected on pathologic review of the entire resected specimens. The pathologists were blinded to all clinical, radiologic, and surgical findings.

Statistical Analysis
The primary outcome evaluated was the degree of correlation between the percentage of change in maxSUV and the percentage of nonviable tumor in the resected specimens. We also evaluated the degree of correlation between the percentages of decrease of the volume of the mass on repeat CT scan and of nonviable tumor in the resected specimen.

In addition, three secondary outcomes were also evaluated. The first was to assess the ability of FDG-PET and CT scan to predict complete pathologic response. The second was to compare the degree of correlation based on the type of neoadjuvant therapy. The third outcome assessed was to compare the degree of correlation based on the two main tissue types of cancer seen in this study, squamous cell and adenocarcinoma.

Spearman's rank-correlation coefficient was used to determine the relationship and establish a linear equation for estimating the percentage of nonviability of tumor according to the percentage of change in the maxSUV on FDG-PET and also the change in volume of the mass on CT scan. Partial correlation coefficients were used to investigate relationships while adjusting for covariates. Multiple linear regression step-wise analysis was used to adjust for risk factors and identify any variables that were independently associated with a decrease in maxSUV (age, gender, percentage of nonviability of tumor, dose of radiation, cell type, and type of neoadjuvant therapy). The highest combined sensitivity and specificity values generated from the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves that predicted complete pathologic responders were identified [14]. The ROC curves for FDG-PET and CT were compared according to the method of DeLong and associates [15]. The test for proportions and the binomial approximation test were used to compare the percent accuracy values between FDG-PET and CT scan. A two-sided p value of 0.05 or less was considered to indicate statistical significance. SAS version 9.0 (SAS Institute, Cary, NC) was used to conduct this analysis.


    Results
 Top
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Material and Methods
 Results
 Comment
 References
 
Patient Characteristics
There were 56 patients (31 men) with a median age of 63 (range 42 to 76). Patient characteristics are shown in Table 2. Thirty-three patients had chemotherapy alone, and 23 patients with stage Ib, IIa, or non-N2 IIIa were enrolled in the Southern Western Oncology Group S9900 trial. All received carboplatin and paclitaxel. In addition, 5 other patients without N2 disease received chemotherapy alone at outside institutions. Three of these patients had carboplatin and paclitaxel. Twenty-three patients with N2 disease underwent combined chemoradiotherapy, 18 of whom had carboplatin and paclitaxel. The dose of radiotherapy used was 45 to 51 Gy in 8 patients and 60 to 68 Gy in 15 patients. The median dose of preoperative radiation was 60 Gy (range 45 to 68 Gy). There was one operative death (1.8%) and no bronchopleural fistulas.


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Table 2. Patient Characteristics
 
Primary Outcomes
Figure 1 demonstrates the percentage of change in the maxSUV plotted against the percentage of nonviable tumor for all patients. A near linear relationship is demonstrated (r2 = 0.75, p < 0.001). The correlation was stronger after adjusting for cell type, radiation dose, and type of neoadjuvant therapy (r2 = 0.81, p < 0.001). Age, gender, surgery type, and duration between the last dose of neoadjuvant therapy and resection were not significantly associated with the percentage of decrease in maxSUV. No correlation was evident between the change in tumor size on repeat CT scan and the percentage of nonviable tumor (r2 = 0.03, p > 0.05).



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Fig 1. Correlation between the decrease in maximum standardized uptake value (maxSUV) and the percentage of nonviable tumor in the resected specimens. The regression line equation: y = 0.9501 x +5.230; r2 = 0.75, p < 0.001. Values where more than one data point was observed have been indicated by a solid black box and the number of observations are indicated in parenthesis. The open boxes represent one data point. Dashed lines indicate the 95% confidence interval for the regression line (solid line).

 
Secondary Outcomes/Complete Responders
Nineteen patients were complete responders. Seven of the 33 patients (21%) who had chemotherapy achieved a complete response rate, whereas 12 of the 23 patients (52%) who had combined chemoradiotherapy had a complete pathologic response rate. The sensitivity and specificity of various cut points in the percentage of change of maxSUV and change in volume on CT scan were determined and are shown in Tables 3 and 4. We found that FDG-PET is superior to CT scan at all cut points for all variables (p < 0.05 for all). In addition, these variables are maximized when a cut point of 80% or greater is selected for the change in the maxSUV. Figure 2 shows the ROC curves that plot the sensitivity and specificity of the complete responders, and it again shows the superiority of FDG-PET (p < 0.001) over CT scan. In addition, we found no difference in the accuracy of the percentage of change of maxSUV for patients with N2 disease when compared with those without.


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Table 3. Actual Data Used to Compute Sensitivity, Specificity and Accuracy Values for Complete Responders for Decrease in Maximum Standardized Uptake Values and in Mass Volume on Computed Tomography
 


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Fig 2. Receiver operating characteristic curves of sensitivity (solid lines) plotted against 100 minus specificity for 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (FDG-PET) and computed tomography (CT) for complete responders. (Area under curve = 0.935 for FDG-PET and 0.532 for CT, p < 0.001).

 
Type of Neoadjuvant Therapy
FDG-PET was better able to predict the pathologic response in patients who had chemotherapy alone than in those that had chemoradiotherapy (r2 = 0.76 and 0.39, respectively; p < 0.001). Additionally, we observed a difference when we compared low-dose (≤ 51 Gy) radiation with high-dose (≥ 60 Gy) radiation (r2 = 0.90 and 0.66, respectively; p < 0.001). Repeat FDG-PET scan was a better predictor of pathologic response when lower doses of radiation were used.

Cell Type
We found that FDG-PET was better able to predict the pathologic response in patients who had squamous cell cancer than in those that had adenocarcinoma (r2 = 0.83 and 0.58, respectively; p < 0.001). Interestingly, we also found that those with squamous cell cancer had a better response to their neoadjuvant therapy. The median decrease in maxSUV was 80% in patients with squamous cell cancer, and the median nonviable tumor found on pathologic examination was 88%. In contrast, the median decrease in maxSUV in patients with adenocarcinoma was 60%, and the median nonviable tumor found on pathologic examination for adenocarcinoma was 69%.


    Comment
 Top
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Material and Methods
 Results
 Comment
 References
 
Many studies have demonstrated the problem of false-positive and false-negative results with FDG-PET scans in patients with NSCLC and the problems of restaging [16–24]. One recurring theme is that FDG-PET scans do not supplant the need for tissue biopsy specimens. We, along with others, have shown that a repeat FDG-PET scan may accurately predict the status of lymph nodes after neoadjuvant therapy [16, 24]; however, few reports have shown that repeat FDG-PET is an accurate predictor of the pathologic response of the primary tumor [12, 24, 25]. Nevertheless, it is commonly ordered, and the results are frequently used to guide, change, or even deny subsequent chemoradiotherapy or surgery, or both.

This trial featured stringent entry criteria on a consecutive series of patients and showed that the change in maxSUV on a repeat FDG-PET scan is an accurate predictor of the pathologic response. The strength of this study, compared with other reports, is the entry criteria applied. For example, Ryu and colleagues in 2002 [24] retrospectively studied 26 patients and found that the change in SUVs of the primary tumor was useful for monitoring the therapeutic effect of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in patients with NSCLC. Akhurst and colleagues in 2002 [25] reported a retrospective series on 56 patients and found that FDG-PET after induction therapy accurately detected residual viable primary tumor. However, those reports did not require a baseline FDG-PET to show the percentage of change in maxSUV, a dedicated FDG-PET scan, or a separate tumor type analysis, as was done in our study.

A limitation of our study is the short follow-up period and thus the lack of survival data. Yet others have shown that a significant response rate does equate to improved survival [10, 11]. Further studies with long-term analysis are required.

The ability to noninvasively identify complete responders to neoadjuvant therapy could have important implications for surgical selection. Pisters and colleagues showed in 1993 [11] that the 5-year survival of patients who underwent resection and who had a complete pathologic response was 54% compared with 15% in those without a complete pathologic response. Nineteen (35%) patients in the study were complete responders, a similar incidence reported by Ryu and colleagues [24].

We found that when the maxSUV decreases by more than 80%, a complete responder can be predicted with 96% accuracy. In contrast, Port and colleagues [12] reported in 2004 that repeat PET did not predict the response to neoadjuvant therapy. However, in that report the authors arbitrarily defined a major PET response as a "reduction in the SUV of 50% or more." If they had chosen a percentage of change of 80% or greater in maxSUV instead of 50% for their data they would have found that repeat PET correctly predicted 4 out of the 5 complete responders in their series.

Importantly, we have demonstrated that the maxSUV does not need to fall to 0 to imply a complete responder, but rather it needs to have an 80% or greater reduction. In those patients who had preoperative chemotherapy, 7 patients were complete responders and in 5, the repeat maxSUV fell to 0. However, in the 12 complete responders who received combined chemoradiotherapy, only 6 had a maxSUV of 0 on the repeat FDG-PET. Thus, a patient who is a complete responder may have a maxSUV on the repeat FDG-PET greater than 0, especially if the patient had preoperative radiation. The percentage of drop is the best predictor of complete pathologic response and not the absolute value of the maxSUV on the repeat FDG-PET scan.

One potential concern is that the SUV measured on one PET scanner may be different on another. The term standardized uptake value used to be an oxymoron because it was anything but standardized. However, most all dedicated PET scanners now use software packages that automatically calculate the maxSUV and take into account many of the various factors that can affect its value. Moreover, protocols for PET scanning are become more standardized, and centers are starting to use similar techniques of scanning, dosages of FDG, time intervals from injection to scanning, and baseline glucose, among others. These steps will make SUVs standardized across centers and continents. To protect for this potential problem in this study, we required that the patients received both FDG-PET scans at the same center using similar techniques. Finally, we chose to look at maxSUV instead of mean SUV because it eliminates many of the subjective measurements inherent to the latter.

Interestingly we found that FDG-PET was less accurate for determining the pathologic response after neoadjuvant therapy when patients had radiation in addition to chemotherapy as opposed to chemotherapy alone. Other studies have demonstrated that radiation can interfere with the interpretation of FDG-PET scans [26]. We also found that the FDG-PET after neoadjuvant therapy was a more accurate predictor of response in patients who had squamous cell cancers than those who had adenocarcinoma, but the reasons for this are unclear.

Our report shows that the percentage of change in the maxSUV on FDG-PET scan after neoadjuvant treatment is an accurate predictor of the actual pathologic response of the primary tumor in patients with NSCLC and that it also can identify complete responders. It is more accurate than CT scan. This information may help guide subsequent treatment strategies for medical oncologists, radiation oncologists, and surgeons. Although, this study and our conclusions must obviously be confined to patients with NSCLC, some of its findings may be applicable to patients with other types of solid organ cancers, especially ones that feature squamous cell or adenocarcinoma. Further prospective trials with long-term follow-up are needed.


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Table 4. The Sensitivity, Specificity and Accuracy of Predicting Complete Pathologic Response by the Percentage of Decrease in Maximum Standardized Uptake Values on Repeat FDG-PET and the Percentage of Decrease in the Mass Size of Tumor on CT Scana
 

    References
 Top
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Material and Methods
 Results
 Comment
 References
 
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H. Kuehl, P. Veit, S. J. Rosenbaum, A. Bockisch, and G. Antoch
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R. J. Cerfolio, A. S. Bryant, E. Scott, M. Sharma, F. Robert, S. A. Spencer, and R. I. Garver
Women With Pathologic Stage I, II, and III Non-small Cell Lung Cancer Have Better Survival Than Men
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C. Pottgen, S. Levegrun, D. Theegarten, S. Marnitz, S. Grehl, R. Pink, W. Eberhardt, G. Stamatis, T. Gauler, G. Antoch, et al.
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Comparative prognostic features of stage IIIAN2 and IIIB non-small-cell lung cancer patients treated with surgery after induction therapy
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B. Milleron, V. Westeel, E. Quoix, D. Moro-Sibilot, D. Braun, B. Lebeau, A. Depierre, and for the French Thoracic Cooperative Group
Complete Response Following Preoperative Chemotherapy for Resectable Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer: Accuracy of Clinical Assessment Using the French Trial Database
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The maximum standardized uptake values on positron emission tomography of a non-small cell lung cancer predict stage, recurrence, and survival
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R. J. Cerfolio, A. S. Bryant, B. Ohja, A. A. Bartolucci, and M. A. Eloubeidi
The accuracy of endoscopic ultrasonography with fine-needle aspiration, integrated positron emission tomography with computed tomography, and computed tomography in restaging patients with esophageal cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy
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