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Ann Thorac Surg 1997;63:1441-1450
© 1997 The Society of Thoracic Surgeons


Original Article: General Thoracic

Survival and Prognostic Factors in Resected N2 Non–Small Cell Lung Cancer: A Study of 140 Cases

Johan F. Vansteenkiste, MD, PhD, Paul R. De Leyn, MD, PhD, Georges J. Deneffe, MD, PhD, Georges Stalpaert, PhD, Kris L. Nackaerts, MD, Toni E. Lerut, MD, PhD, Maurits G. Demedts, MD, PhD the Leuven Lung Cancer Group

Departments of Pulmonology (Respiratory Tumor Unit) and Thoracic Surgery, University Hospital Gasthuisberg, Catholic University Leuven, Belgium

Accepted for publication December 13, 1996.


    Abstract
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 Footnotes
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Patients and Methods
 Methods
 Statistical Analysis
 Results
 Univariate Analysis of...
 Multivariate Analysis
 Comment
 Appendix 1
 Acknowledgments
 References
 
Background. The selection of stage IIIA N2 non–small cell lung cancer patients for primary surgical treatment remains controversial.

Methods. One hundred forty patients with resected non–small cell lung cancer who eventually proved to have pathologic N2 disease were studied with a univariate and multivariate analysis of prognostic factors.

Results. Nineteen patients had a positive mediastinoscopy; the others had a preoperative N0 or N1 stage. Complete resection rate was 80.7%. Five-year survival was 20.8% (95% confidence interval, 17.2% to 24.4%), 32.2% in mediastinoscopy-negative patients. In the univariate analysis, clinical N stage at mediastinoscopy, complete resection, performance status, T stage, number of metastatic levels in adenocarcinoma, and nodal capsule rupture were important factors. In a multivariate model, survival was worse in case of higher T stage (relative risk = 1.43), lower performance status (relative risk = 1.37), involvement of more than one node level (relative risk = 1.68), nonsquamous histology (relative risk = 1.29) and clinical N2 stage (relative risk = 1.43). Long-term survival was unlikely when lactic dehydrogenase or carcinoembryonic antigen levels were elevated.

Conclusions. In clinical N0 or N1 cancer, complete resection resulted in reasonable survival prospects. In patients with N2 disease discovered at mediastinoscopy, surgical treatment was only worthwhile in case of minimal N2. Several unfavorable prognostic factors could be identified in the univariate analysis and confirmed in a multivariate Cox model.


    Introduction
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 Abstract
 Introduction
 Patients and Methods
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 Statistical Analysis
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 Univariate Analysis of...
 Multivariate Analysis
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 Acknowledgments
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See also page 1450.

In the early stages of non–small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), either without lymph node metastases (stage I) or with metastases to intrapulmonary or hilar lymph nodes only (stage II), complete resection offers a good prognosis with an expected 5-year survival of 50%, even 70% in the T1 N0 subset.

Patients with locally advanced disease (stage III) are a heterogeneous group. They are divided into stage IIIB (usually not considered for surgical treatment) and stage IIIA (potentially operable). Even stage IIIA has a variable prognosis: patients with a T3 N0 or T3 N1 tumor have a far better prognosis than those with stage IIIA N2 disease, especially if the T3 factor is caused by resectable chest wall invasion.

There is controversy in the literature about the indication for primary surgical treatment in stage IIIA N2 patients. In the past, some authors have stressed that the preoperative discovery of N2 disease is an ominous finding [13]. Others have advocated that, even in clinical N2 (cN2) disease, surgical exploration should always be undertaken to obtain 5-year survival rates as high as 20% [4].

This retrospective study reports the survival of 140 NSCLC patients with resected N2 disease. By means of a univariate and multivariate analysis, it also seeks the prognostic factors determining the survival of these patients.


    Patients and Methods
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 Abstract
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 Patients and Methods
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 Univariate Analysis of...
 Multivariate Analysis
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 Appendix 1
 Acknowledgments
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Patients
One hundred forty patients with NSCLC, eventually proved to have postoperative pathological N2 disease (pN2), underwent resection between 1985 and 1993. All patients were preoperatively considered for surgical exploration with intended complete resection. Complete resection was defined as removal of all tumor at the primary site and lymph nodes. The resection margins and the most centrally sampled lymph node had to be free of tumor. Extensive mediastinal sampling was performed, except in cases with apparent impossibility of complete resection. If malignant mediastinal lymph nodes (MLN) were found macroscopically or on frozen section, mediastinal dissection was added.

Pretreatment staging consisted of clinical history and physical examination, blood tests including a complete blood count, measurement of serum calcium level, liver function tests, and in some cases measurement of carcinoembryonic antigen level. All patients had a preoperative bronchoscopy and computed tomographic (CT) scan of the mediastinum and lungs. Lymph nodes with a long-axis diameter of 15 mm or more were considered abnormal. Upper abdominal ultrasonography was performed in all patients, completed by upper abdominal CT scan in case of equivocal findings. Brain CT scan was requested in case of neurologic symptoms or signs, and in all patients with adenocarcinoma or large cell undifferentiated carcinoma. Bone scintigraphy was carried out in patients with bone pain or raised alkaline phosphatase or serum calcium levels, completed by bone radiographs or a bone CT scan in case of equivocal findings. All patients with a large cell undifferentiated carcinoma or adenocarcinoma underwent surgical mediastinal exploration. In patients with squamous cell tumors, this evaluation was restricted to those with enlarged MLN on CT scan, or with a more advanced clinical T stage (T3 or T4). Surgical mediastinal exploration consisted of cervical mediastinoscopy, completed by left anterior mediastinotomy in appropriate cases. Labeling of MLN was performed according to the classification of Naruke and associates [5]. In 121 patients, the preoperative findings suggested clinical N0 or N1 disease and the presence of N2 was discovered at thoracotomy. In case of a positive mediastinoscopy, surgical treatment was attempted only in very select cases with younger age and good general condition.

The indication for postoperative radiotherapy was left at the discretion of the treating physician. This adjuvant treatment was applied in 71 cases. Postoperative mortality was defined as death due to any cause within 30 days of the operation. Follow-up of the patients was obtained from our hospital records, or by written questionnaires to the referring pulmonologists or general practitioners.


    Methods
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 Abstract
 Introduction
 Patients and Methods
 Methods
 Statistical Analysis
 Results
 Univariate Analysis of...
 Multivariate Analysis
 Comment
 Appendix 1
 Acknowledgments
 References
 
In a retrospective review of 140 hospital records of patients with pN2 disease, we retrieved the following items: (1) mediastinal staging and type of treatment (clinical N stage, method of staging [CT scan only, cervical or anterior mediastinoscopy], extent of the resection, completeness of the resection), (2) clinical characteristics (age at diagnosis, sex, performance status according to the World Health Organization [WHO] scale, symptomatic disease at diagnosis, weight loss in the 3 months before treatment, therapeutic delay defined as the time between the first suspicion on chest roentgenogram and the surgical resection), (3) biological findings (serum alkaline phosphatase and lactic dehydrogenase [LDH] levels, hemoglobin, white blood cell count, neutrophil count, lymphocyte count, serum carcinoembryonic antigen [CEA] level), (4) characteristics of the primary tumor (site of the tumor, postoperative T stage, endoscopy of the tumor defined as central [ie, visible] or peripheral, pathologic findings in the resection specimen: histology, degree of differentiation, vascular invasion); and (5) MLN characteristics (number of metastatic MLN levels, location of metastatic MLN levels according to the lymph node map of Naruke and associates [5], extracapsular spread in metastatic MLN, classification as "minimal N2 disease" defined as disease in only one metastatic level, intracapsular, macroscopically not suspect for metastasis at surgical exploration).


    Statistical Analysis
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 Footnotes
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Patients and Methods
 Methods
 Statistical Analysis
 Results
 Univariate Analysis of...
 Multivariate Analysis
 Comment
 Appendix 1
 Acknowledgments
 References
 
Survival was calculated according to the Kaplan-Meier method. Length of survival was defined as the interval in months between the date of operation and the date of death or the date of the most recent contact for censored cases. Postoperative mortality was included. For the univariate analysis, the log-rank statistic was used. The Breslow statistic, an analog test that weights early deaths more than later ones, was used when survival differences were more obvious in the first years of follow-up.

A Cox regression analysis was carried out with a conditional backward procedure and treating categoric covariates with the deviation method. A significance level of 0.10 was used for adding and deleting. The importance of each selected covariate was evaluated by the Wald statistic, taking into account the remaining selected variables. The relative risk of a covariate (and its 95% confidence interval [CI]) was calculated by the exponent of the regression factor B (and its 95% CI).

In the tables, the median survival time with its 95% CI and the 2- and 5-year survival percentages were represented. We chose these points because most of the deaths occur in the first 2 years after therapy, whereas a survival of 5 years is generally regarded as very suggestive for cure. A p value less than 0.05 was considered significant. To indicate some trends, p values less than 0.20 are mentioned between brackets in the tables.

The statistical program SPSS was used for the analysis of the data.


    Results
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 Abstract
 Introduction
 Patients and Methods
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Characteristics and Survival of the Total Group
The sex ratio was 130 men/10 women. Mean age was 61 years, ranging from 40 to 76 years. Mediastinal staging was based on CT scan in 53 patients and on mediastinoscopy in 87. Overall resectability (defined as the number of complete resections divided by the total number of resections) was 80.7%; it reached 85.3% in the 68 mediastinoscopy-negative patients and 63.2% in the 19 mediastinoscopy-positive ones. Overall postoperative mortality was 5.7%, 4.4% in mediastinoscopy-negative patients but up to 10.5% in mediastinoscopy-positive patients.

The distribution of the metastases in the different MLN is illustrated in Table 1Go. The tracheobronchial (level 4), subaortic (level 5), and subcarinal levels (level 7) were the most common levels with metastases. In our 140 patients, 187 metastatic sites were found distributed over the 9 MLN levels, an average of 1.4 per patient.


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Table 1. . Distribution at Operation of the Mediastinal Lymph Node Metastases
 
Survival data were obtained in all patients. The average duration of follow-up was 24.4 months (range, 0 to 98 months). In surviving patients, this was 54.7 months (range, 16 to 98 months). The median survival time of the total group (Fig 1Go) was 14 months (95% CI, 10 to 18 months). Two-year and 5-year survival rates were 36.6% (95% CI, 28.4% to 44.8%) and 20.8% (95% CI, 17.2% to 24.4%). In a log-rank analysis, the patients treated with postoperative radiotherapy seemed to have a better survival than the others (24.4% at 5 years versus 16.8%; p = 0.02). After correction for the postoperative mortality, this effect was no longer present (p = 0.38).



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Fig 1. . Survival of the 140 patients with resected pN2 disease (error bars indicate the standard error of the mean (s.e.m.); every angle mark indicates a living patient at risk).

 
The pathways of lymphatic metastases in the mediastinum according to the topography of the primary tumor are illustrated in Table 2Go. Right upper or middle lobe tumors most readily spread to the superior mediastinal compartment (levels 1 to 4), right lower lobe tumors to the lower mediastinal compartment (levels 7 to 9), left upper lobe tumors to the aortic compartment (levels 5 and 6), and left lower lobe tumors to all compartments. The spread of a right upper or middle lobe tumor to the lower mediastinal compartment or of a left lung tumor to the aortic as well as the superior mediastinal compartment was an ominous finding: no 5-year survivors were present in these categories.


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Table 2. . Pathways of Lymphatic Metastases According to the Site of the Primary Tumor
 

    Univariate Analysis of Prognostic Factors
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 Acknowledgments
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STAGING AND TYPE OF TREATMENT.
Patients with a preoperative cN2 status had a trend toward worse survival (5-year survival, 15.0%) than cN0-1 patients (21.6%) (Table 3Go). This difference was significant in patients staged with mediastinoscopy: 32.2% for mediastinoscopy-negative and 15% for mediastinoscopy-positive ones (p = 0.04).


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Table 3. . Effect on Survival of the Method of Staging and the Type of Treatment
 
The 113 patients with a complete resection had a 5-year survival of 24.9%; 5-year survival was only 3.7% in the case of incomplete resection (p = 0.002). There were 7 sleeve pneumonectomies, 105 pneumonectomies, 4 bilobectomies, 22 lobectomies, and 2 limited resections. The extent of resection was dichotomized in "pneumonectomies" (ie, sleeve pneumonectomies + pneumonectomies) and "lobectomies" (ie, bilobectomies + lobectomies + limited resections). There were no significant differences between these groups. The median survival time was a little bit better in the lobectomy group, and the patients in the pneumonectomy group had a slightly better 5-year survival (21.8%).

CLINICAL CHARACTERISTICS.
Most of the patients had WHO performance status 1 at diagnosis (Table 4Go). Patients with WHO performance status 0 had a significantly better 5-year survival (23.8%) than the others (p = 0.02). The difference was significant for WHO 0 versus 1, not for WHO 1 versus 2. Patients without symptoms had a slightly better survival (20.5%) than the symptomatic ones (12.0%). No differences in survival between men and women were found. Weight loss during the 3 months before surgical exploration did not correlate with survival. Even though therapeutic delay (ie, time between the first suspicion on chest roentgenogram and resection) was sometimes more than 12 weeks, no survival effect of the therapeutic delay could be found.


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Table 4. . Survival According to the Clinical Characteristics of the Patients
 
BIOLOGICAL CHARACTERISTICS.
The LDH level was known in 123 cases. Although no strict correlation could be found, LDH level had a clear negative influence on survival: all long-term survivors but 1 had a normal LDH value. The data for preoperative alkaline phosphatase level (126 cases) and for hemoglobin and white blood cell count (134 cases) gave no clear relationships.

Preoperative CEA level, available in 61 patients, correlated with survival: nearly all patients with long-term survival had a CEA value less than 5 ng/mL. If the limit was set at 7.5 ng/mL, only 1 patient had some long-term follow-up and died of tumor after 39 months.

TUMOR CHARACTERISTICS.
Survival was comparable for tumors in the upper, middle or lower lobe (Table 5Go). Tumors in the main bronchus had a worse 5-year survival (10.6%, nonsignificant difference). Right-sided and left-sided tumors had a nearly identical prognosis. Most patients had central tumors on bronchoscopic examination. Patients with peripheral tumors had a slightly longer median survival time.


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Table 5. . Effect on Survival of Tumor Characteristics
 
The extent of the primary tumor was a very important prognostic factor. The overall comparison of the four T stages showed a significant difference (p = 0.01). On subgroup analysis, this was true for T1 versus T3 (p = 0.02) and T2 versus T3 (p = 0.001). A trend was seen for T1 versus T4 (p = 0.09) and T2 versus T4 (p = 0.06). Long-term survival was nearly absent in T3 N2 and T4 N2 stages.

There were 35 adenocarcinomas, 86 squamous cell, 6 bronchioloalveolar, 7 large cell, and 6 adenosquamous carcinomas. The survival was very similar for all histologic types. It should be noted that the 5-year survival was nil in N2 bronchioloalveolar cell carcinoma. The degree of differentiation of the tumor and the presence of vascular invasion by the tumor did not influence survival.

MEDIASTINAL LYMPH NODE.
Patients with only one metastatic MLN level had a significantly better median survival time (20 months) than those with multiple levels (11 months), but survival curves converged at 5 years (Table 6Go). The number of metastatic MLN levels was significantly related to survival in patients with nonsquamous tumors (p = 0.03) and patients with a positive mediastinoscopy (p = 0.02). The topography of the metastatic MLN had some importance: patients with metastases in the superior mediastinal compartment only had a better 5-year survival. The differences were not significant, however, in the overall comparison between the five groups.


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Table 6. . Effect on Survival of Mediastinal Lymph Node Characteristics
 
Patients without extracapsular spread in the metastatic MLN had a 5-year survival of 23.3%; those with extracapsular spread had a 5-year survival of 16.1% (p = 0.05). Survival in patients with minimal N2 disease as defined above was slightly better than in the others.


    Multivariate Analysis
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 Univariate Analysis of...
 Multivariate Analysis
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 Appendix 1
 Acknowledgments
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For this analysis, all characteristics described above were used as covariates, except for preoperative CEA level, which was unknown in far too many cases. The WHO performance status (0 versus 1 or 2), extent of the tumor (pT1/pT2 versus pT3/pT4), pathology type (squamous versus nonsquamous), number of metastatic MLN levels (one versus multiple), and extent of resection (pneumonectomy versus lobectomy) were dichotomized.

Five covariates were significantly related with survival: extent of the primary tumor (relative risk [RR] = 1.43), WHO performance status (RR = 1.37), pathology (RR = 1.29), number of metastatic MLN levels (RR = 1.68), and clinical N status (RR = 1.43). Figure 2Go illustrates these relative risks. They are the ratio of the estimated hazard of dying for a patient with an unfavorable characteristic to the hazard for a patient without this characteristic. If the RR is 1, the characteristic does not influence survival; if it is more than 1, the characteristic is associated with an increased hazard of dying, and thus a worse survival. If the 95% CI of the characteristic does not cross the line at value 1, the null hypothesis that this variable is not associated with survival can be rejected, and the finding is representative for the population. For instance, if extent of the tumor is considered, a patient with a pT3/pT4 tumor has a relative risk of 1.43, and thus a 43% greater chance of dying than a patient with a pT1/pT2 tumor. The 95% CI is far from the value-1 line; this finding thus is significant for the entire population.



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Fig 2. . Covariates related to survival in the Cox model in patients with resected pN2 disease (N levels = number of metastatic mediastinal lymph node levels; non-squam = non-squamous histology; path = pathology of the tumor; pT = pathologic T stage; PS = performance status; RR = relative risk; WHO = World Health Organization.)

 

    Comment
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 Abstract
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 Multivariate Analysis
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The survival of 140 patients with pN2 NSCLC, and the influence of several patient characteristics on survival, were analyzed with univariate and multivariate techniques. The analysis was retrospective, but the number of missing data was very small. Follow-up was obtained in all patients.

The resectability rate (defined as the number of complete resections divided by the total number of resections) was 80.7%. This figure is high and in line with other series using mediastinoscopy for staging [1, 68]. The resectability rate was lower but still 63.2% in patients with a positive mediastinoscopy before operation. This can be compared with the 65% resectability rate in the cN2 patients of Pearson and associates [1], but is much higher than the 18% resectability rate reported by Martini and Flehinger [9], who used chest roentgenography and bronchoscopy for mediastinal staging, or the 28% resectability rate mentioned by Watanabe and colleagues [4]. In our view, this reflects our selective attitude in case of a positive mediastinoscopy, but it also confirms that mediastinoscopy is a much better method of staging than CT scanning to avoid futile incomplete resections.

The postoperative mortality of 5.7% is compatible with those of other series. A higher figure was found in the mediastinoscopy-positive patients, where the chances of survival were similar to the risk of postoperative mortality, both in our data and in those from others [1, 4, 9, 10].

The distribution of the metastatic MLN indicated that unforeseen N2 was most frequently found in level 4, level 5 (predominantly in patients with left upper lobe lung tumors staged with cervical mediastinoscopy but not with left anterior mediastinotomy), and level 7. Patterson and associates [8] reported that patients with unforeseen N2 disease in the subaortic lymph nodes only had a 5-year survival of 28% and even 42% if a complete resection was possible. We were not able to confirm these very good results (21% in our series).

As in the anatomic studies by Nohl-Oser, we found that right upper and middle lobe tumors had pathways of lymphatic metastases to the right superior MLN, right lower lobe tumors to the inferior ones, and left upper lobe tumors to the aortic ones. Left lower lobe tumors have a more variable pattern of spread both to the left parasternal MLN and to the subcarinal ones, with a risk of crossing the midline. A lymphatic spread not following the anatomy was a poor prognostic sign: eg, there were no 5-year survivors in patients with a right upper or middle lobe tumor with metastases in the inferior mediastinum.

The long period of follow-up protected against the major pitfall of actuarial survival analysis: making a very early report of the 5-year survival of a group of patients, of whom only a minority have a follow-up approaching 5 years, with a rather unreliable tail of the curve based on only a few patients at risk. In our 140 pN2 patients undergoing resection, the median survival time was 14 months (95% CI, 10 to 18 months) and the 5-year survival was 20.8% (95% CI, 17.2% to 24.4%). This was better than the survival in other published series [1, 4, 9, 11, 12], and can be explained by our very selective attitude toward resection in mediastinoscopy-positive patients. Their proportion was only 19 of 140 cases in this series.

Patients with a preoperative cN0-1 stage had a more favorable survival, 21.6% at 5 years in our group, largely due to the far better survival (32.2%) of patients with a preoperative negative mediastinoscopy. This is in line with the 5-year survival in series of surgically explored patients with a negative preoperative mediastinoscopy: 17.8% reported by Goldstraw and associates [7], 28% by Patterson and associates [8], and 24% by Pearson and associates [1]. This was confirmed in our multivariate analysis.

The importance of a complete resection was logical and in line with literature data [1, 4, 6, 7, 9, 1113]. Among the 27 patients with incomplete resection, there was only 1 absolute 5-year survivor. He had a negative mediastinoscopy, a T1 tumor, and intracapsular metastatic MLN at two levels. He underwent pneumonectomy plus mediastinal dissection, but with a positive bronchial resection margin.

The WHO performance status proved to be an important prognostic factor: patients with WHO score 0 had a significantly (p = 0.02) better survival. Performance status is a well-known prognostic factor in studies on patients with metastatic NSCLC [14]. In series on surgical treatment, however, it is rarely if ever reported. Nonetheless, we think it is useful in difficult clinical decisions or in the planning of combined modality treatment, given that it was the second most important prognostic factor in our Cox model.

Weight loss influences the prognosis in different cancer types. Weight loss is frequent in patients with NSCLC, and sometimes not due to metastatic disease but to the metabolic derangements of the cancer anorexia and cachexia syndrome, to which NSCLC patients are prone [15, 16]. Surgical series on patients with pN2 disease do not contain sufficient detail on this issue to be compared with our data. We could speculate that the absence of a relationship between weight loss and survival in our pN2 patients is due to the fact that weight loss is caused by metabolic derangements and not by (occult) distant metastatic disease. In this situation, a relationship between weight loss and survival after a complete resection is not necessarily present.

We also examined the effect of therapeutic delay (defined as the interval between the first sign of disease on chest roentgenogram and the surgical exploration). In our pN2 patients we could not confirm the relationship between therapeutic delay and survival as reported in the Ludwig Lung Cancer Study Group data [14]. We were further interested in this effect because the question is sometimes raised if a delay due to waiting times for sophisticated staging or other examinations is not harmful. The fact that our data did not show this can be explained by the long doubling times of the different types of NSCLC. A few weeks are only a fraction in the evolution of this tumor. This is certainly not a plea for loss of time, but against therapeutic rush at the cost of precise medical evaluation and staging of the patient.

Local extent (T stage) was the only tumor characteristic that significantly (p = 0.01) influenced survival in the univariate analysis. In the Cox model, it was the prognostic factor with the highest significance (p = 0.003). The behavior of T1 N2 and T2 N2 disease was similar, as was the case for T3 N2 and T4 N2 disease, where practically no long-term survival was found. This is in agreement with the literature data [1, 4, 8, 9, 1113, 17, 18]. The report of Goldstraw and colleagues [7] is one where these findings were not present.

Survival was comparable in patients with central versus peripheral tumors at bronchoscopy. Some authors suggested a better survival for peripheral tumors [3, 9], others [19] for central tumors. No firm conclusions can be made on this issue.

Roeslin and associates [20] found vascular invasion by the tumor to be the only prognostic factor in their Cox regression model. In a recent pathologic study, Ichinose and colleagues [21] found an influence of venous invasion in their Cox model. We were not able to confirm this finding.

The pathology of the tumor is reported to be an important factor by some groups [7, 19] but not by others [4, 9, 10, 12, 18, 20, 22]. This can be due to an insufficient number of patients in individual series. When we pooled the literature data on this issue (analysis not yet reported), we found a better survival in patients with squamous cell tumors. Moreover, squamous cell carcinoma had a significantly better prognosis in our Cox model (p = 0.03).

Of the examined MLN characteristics, extracapsular spread was found to be of borderline significance. This is in agreement with some authors [7, 11, 19, 20], but not with others [10, 13, 23]. Some groups [1, 6, 18] do not undertake surgical exploration in patients with extracapsular spread. The presence of capsule rupture was not withheld as a prognostic factor in our Cox model. In an other recent analysis by Ricquet and co-workers [24], capsular rupture had no influence on survival.

The number of metastatic MLN levels did not influence survival in our univariate analysis of the total group, but was important in patients with nonsquamous tumors or with a positive mediastinoscopy. In the Cox model, the number of metastatic MLN levels was a relevant prognostic factor. Literature data also pointed out that this factor is very important for the prognosis [7, 9, 12, 13, 18].

The results on the importance of the distribution of the metastases over the MLN are very conflicting in the literature. One group [25] reported better survival for patients with metastases in the high MLN only; two others [9, 18] for reported better survival cases with low MLN only. In the above-mentioned study by Ricquet and co-workers [24], the location of the metastatic MLN was not important for the prognosis. One notable exception were metastases in the subcarinal region, which led to a significantly worse prognosis in most series [1, 9, 12, 13, 22, 25, 26]. In our patients, the only difference was a better 5-year survival (30.1%) in patients with metastases in the superior mediastinum than in those with subcarinal metastases (18.4%).

At the time of treatment of our patients, there was no unequivocal definition of minimal N2 disease in the literature. Recently, the International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer proposed one positive lower mediastinal nodal station excluding subcarinal adenopathy. We used a somewhat more strict definition of metastasis in only one level, intracapsular, and macroscopically not suspect for metastasis at mediastinoscopy or surgical exploration. Using this definition, we found only a trend toward better survival. However, this distinction proved to be very useful in the group of patients with a positive mediastinoscopy. Each of the few long-term survivors in this category had "strictly minimal N2 disease." Three are still alive, 2 absolute 5-year survivors and 1 patient in follow-up at 36 months. These 3 patients had a T2 right-sided tumor, underwent complete resection, and had MLN metastasis without extracapsular spread in one single level, located in the right paratracheal mediastinum in 2 and subcarinal in 1. If more than minimal N2 disease was found at mediastinoscopy, survival prospects were too poor to justify immediate surgical exploration in these cases.

The prognostic impact of laboratory values such as LDH level is well known in patients with metastatic disease [14]. In earlier disease, however, laboratory values are known to be less important, because disease stage dominates the survival. N2 patients are situated between early (usually surgically treated) and advanced (medically treated) disease; it was thus interesting to look at biological findings. In this group very few, if any, data were found in the classic surgical series. Although we could not find a linear correlation between LDH level and survival, an abnormal (ie, more than 460 U/L in our center) pretreatment value was an ominous finding: all but 1 of these patients died shortly after treatment. A similar influence was found for the preoperative CEA level. Except for 1 individual, who survived 3 years, all patients with a preoperative value of more than 7.5 ng/mL died within 2 years after surgical exploration. The importance of this marker was also noted by others. Concannon and associates [27] found that all of the patients with CEA levels greater than 6 ng/mL died in less than 3 years. Vincent and associates [28] noted that the median survival time for patients with a CEA level less than 2.5 ng/mL was 34 months, whereas it was only 9 months in subjects with a CEA level greater than 5 ng/mL. Finally, Icard and colleagues [29] found no long-term survival in patients with a CEA level greater than 30 ng/mL. Survival at 5 years in 45 patients with stage IIIA disease and a CEA level greater than 10 ng/mL was only 7%.

We conclude that there is a large variation in the literature data on survival and prognostic factors in stage IIIA N2 NSCLC treated by primary surgical resection. With the advantages of a detailed multivariate analysis, we identified the following factors determining the chances for cure in pN2 patients undergoing primary surgical treatment:

  1. Method of staging and type of treatment: The 20.8% 5-year survival mainly came from patients with a preoperative clinical N0-1 stage who underwent a complete resection. Patients with clinical N2 disease had a worse prognosis (RR = 1.43). If more than strictly minimal N2 was found at mediastinoscopy, the prognosis was so poor that immediate surgical treatment is contraindicated. A combined modality approach with induction treatment is to be preferred in these cases.
  2. Clinical and biological findings: The prognosis was worse in case of a performance status of more than 0 on the WHO performance scale (RR = 1.37). Long-term survival was unlikely when LDH or CEA levels were elevated.
  3. Tumor characteristics: The survival was worse in case of a T3 or T4 tumor (RR = 1.43) and in case of nonsquamous tumors (RR = 1.29).
  4. Lymph node characteristics: A less favorable prognosis was noted in patients with more than one metastatic lymph node level (RR = 1.68). The topography of these metastatic nodes was less relevant, except for metastases in the subcarinal region, which aggravated the prognosis.

Resection was thus rewarding in patients with unforeseen N2 disease, especially after a negative mediastinoscopy. The median survival time of these patients was 20 months, and a 32.2% 5-year survival could be obtained. In this group, survival is expected to be worse in patients with a more advanced T stage, a lower performance status, a nonsquamous histology, involvement of more than 1 MLN level, especially in adenocarcinoma, and a high preoperative value of LDH or CEA. These prognostic factors should be taken into account in adjuvant protocols. In patients with clinical N2 disease discovered at mediastinoscopy, surgical treatment was only worthwhile if there was strictly minimal N2 disease. In other instances a preoperative induction protocol should nowadays be considered.


    Appendix 1
 Top
 Footnotes
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Patients and Methods
 Methods
 Statistical Analysis
 Results
 Univariate Analysis of...
 Multivariate Analysis
 Comment
 Appendix 1
 Acknowledgments
 References
 
The Leuven Lung Cancer Group consists of pulmonary oncologists (Johan Vansteenkiste, Kris Nackaerts, and Maurits Demedts), thoracic surgeons (Georges Deneffe, Paul De Leyn, Dirk Van Raemdonck, Willy Coosemans, and Toni Lerut), radiation oncologists (Johan Menten, Luc Van Uytsel, and Emmanuel Van der Schueren), and other co-workers from respiratory medicine (Bertien Buyse, Marc Decramer, Marion Delcroix, Andre Vandeneeckhout, and Geert Verleden), radiology (Johnny Verschakelen, Jan Bogaert, and Albert Baert), and pathology (Eric Verbeken, Ria Drijkoningen, and Jo Lauwerijns).


    Acknowledgments
 Top
 Footnotes
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Patients and Methods
 Methods
 Statistical Analysis
 Results
 Univariate Analysis of...
 Multivariate Analysis
 Comment
 Appendix 1
 Acknowledgments
 References
 
This study was supported in part by a private grant (8 E01 2010 27 1612) from Baron Georges Stalpaert, Emeritus Professor of Thoracic Surgery.


    Footnotes
 Top
 Footnotes
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Patients and Methods
 Methods
 Statistical Analysis
 Results
 Univariate Analysis of...
 Multivariate Analysis
 Comment
 Appendix 1
 Acknowledgments
 References
 
* The members of the Leuven Lung Cancer Group are listed in Appendix 1. Back

Address reprint requests to Dr.Vansteenkiste, Respiratory Tumor Unit, Department of Pulmonology, University Hospital Gasthuisberg, Herestraat 49, B-3000 Leuven, Belgium (e-mail: johan.vansteenkiste{at}uz.kuleuven.ac.be).


    References
 Top
 Footnotes
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Patients and Methods
 Methods
 Statistical Analysis
 Results
 Univariate Analysis of...
 Multivariate Analysis
 Comment
 Appendix 1
 Acknowledgments
 References
 

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